Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.152453 0.178460 0.207071 0.240814 0.279452 0.322238 0.373133
2025-11-16 0.106310 0.140527 0.182343 0.236876 0.305748 0.389436 0.498382
2025-11-23 0.079113 0.114772 0.161958 0.228268 0.318217 0.435035 0.597096
2025-11-30 0.068309 0.106781 0.161013 0.241821 0.357665 0.515948 0.746325
2025-12-07 0.054925 0.092083 0.147638 0.234995 0.366674 0.554987 0.841030
2025-12-14 0.044655 0.079896 0.135522 0.227393 0.372292 0.588131 0.928631
2025-12-21 0.037123 0.070583 0.126120 0.222076 0.379783 0.623490 1.021196
2025-12-28 0.032719 0.065709 0.122989 0.225995 0.401531 0.681624 1.152320
2026-01-04 0.029693 0.062727 0.122500 0.233977 0.430266 0.752608 1.308667
2026-01-11 0.026682 0.059220 0.120504 0.238877 0.453934 0.816875 1.458646
2026-01-18 0.023765 0.055371 0.117283 0.241013 0.472685 0.874039 1.600673
2026-01-25 0.020939 0.051204 0.112830 0.240175 0.485729 0.922063 1.730194
2026-02-01 0.018121 0.046618 0.107044 0.236309 0.493225 0.961756 1.849852
2026-02-08 0.015701 0.042494 0.101635 0.232545 0.500553 1.001814 1.973497
2026-02-15 0.013270 0.037857 0.094423 0.224088 0.497663 1.022568 2.063301
2026-02-22 0.012743 0.037826 0.097356 0.237417 0.539598 1.130405 2.321367
2026-03-01 0.010944 0.034160 0.091453 0.230704 0.539575 1.157663 2.429266
2026-03-08 0.009360 0.030729 0.085567 0.223228 0.537037 1.179509 2.527881
2026-03-15 0.008116 0.027984 0.080926 0.217999 0.538701 1.209620 2.644377
2026-03-22 0.007461 0.026834 0.080145 0.221853 0.560771 1.282807 2.851386
2026-03-29 0.007042 0.026324 0.080964 0.229703 0.592557 1.378304 3.109513
2026-04-05 0.006533 0.025422 0.080598 0.234523 0.617730 1.461493 3.347371
2026-04-12 0.005972 0.024226 0.079241 0.236623 0.636640 1.532455 3.563973